SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.47%) and 1-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
37.71% ( -1) | 22.37% ( -0.2) | 39.91% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 67.85% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.4% ( 1.01) | 32.6% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.74% ( 1.16) | 54.26% ( -1.16) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0) | 18.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.97% ( -0) | 49.03% ( 0) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0.94) | 17.15% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( 1.64) | 47.39% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.3% Total : 39.91% |
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