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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
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Salford City
1 - 3
Stockport

Dackers (3')
Mallan (16'), Pedro (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Madden (20' pen., 52', 67')
Pond (72')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Salford City and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
34.27% (4.446 4.45) 24.21% (0.125 0.13) 41.52% (-4.571 -4.57)
Both teams to score 60.21% (1.524 1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (1.156 1.16)42.3% (-1.157 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (1.148 1.15)64.7% (-1.148 -1.15)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (3.295 3.3)24.22% (-3.296 -3.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (4.459 4.46)58.57% (-4.46 -4.46)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-1.51 -1.51)20.53% (1.51 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-2.448 -2.45)53.04% (2.447 2.45)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 34.27%
    Stockport County 41.52%
    Draw 24.2%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.683 0.68)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.297 0.3)
2-0 @ 5% (0.642 0.64)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.631 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.38 0.38)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.489 0.49)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.323 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.265 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.464 -0.46)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.814 -0.81)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.976 -0.98)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.482 -0.48)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.699 -0.7)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Newport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-4 Burnley
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Notts County
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two


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