Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.03) 
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