Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Salford City |
56.79% ( 0) | 21.07% ( -0.01) | 22.13% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.6% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.8% ( 0.05) | 36.19% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.69% ( 0.05) | 58.31% ( -0.05) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% ( 0.02) | 12.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.13% ( 0.03) | 38.86% ( -0.03) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% ( 0.03) | 29.45% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( 0.04) | 65.45% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.1% Total : 22.13% |
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