SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
63.73% ( 0.01) | 18.71% ( -0.01) | 17.56% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.04) | 31.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.75% ( 0.05) | 53.25% ( -0.05) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( 0.01) | 9.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.09% ( 0.03) | 31.9% ( -0.04) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.02) | 31.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( 0.02) | 67.45% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 17.56% |
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