SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
67.18% ( 0.78) | 18.25% ( -0.22) | 14.57% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.14) | 35.72% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.21% ( -0.16) | 57.79% ( 0.17) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.2% ( 0.15) | 9.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.43% ( 0.34) | 32.58% ( -0.34) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.81) | 37.21% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( -0.81) | 73.99% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.18% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.25% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.57% |
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