Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
