Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.66) 
