Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0.9) 
-0.36) 
