Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
