Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
-2.08) 
0.27) 
