SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
32.17% ( -5.48) | 25.71% ( -0.49) | 42.12% ( 5.96) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 1.38) | 49.66% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( 1.22) | 71.68% ( -1.22) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -2.66) | 29.06% ( 2.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -3.42) | 64.97% ( 3.42) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 3.83) | 23.41% ( -3.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( 5.27) | 57.4% ( -5.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -1.17) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.75)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -1.18)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.58)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.69)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.77)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1.09)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.78)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.84)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.31)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.42)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.4)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.12% |
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