Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
