SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 73.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 3-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
73.1% ( 0.7) | 15.31% ( -0.37) | 11.6% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.54% ( 0.96) | 28.46% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.68% ( 1.18) | 49.32% ( -1.18) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.27% ( 0.36) | 6.73% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.1% ( 0.95) | 24.9% ( -0.95) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( 0.17) | 36.56% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( 0.17) | 73.35% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 73.1% | 1-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.31% | 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.6% |
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