Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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