SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.85%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
79.46% ( 0.25) | 11.95% ( -0.1) | 8.58% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.73% ( 0.03) | 20.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.52% ( 0.04) | 38.48% ( -0.03) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.99% ( 0.04) | 4.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.1% ( 0.13) | 16.9% ( -0.12) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.27) | 35.31% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( -0.28) | 72.07% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 4.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.02% Total : 79.46% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 11.95% | 1-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 8.58% |
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