SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds United Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Southampton Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Middlesbrough Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Southampton Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Norwich City Under-21s | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
49.84% ( -1) | 20.04% ( -0.16) | 30.11% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 74.17% ( 1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.57% ( 1.57) | 23.43% ( -1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.16% ( 2.08) | 42.84% ( -2.08) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( 0.29) | 10.31% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.26% ( 0.65) | 33.74% ( -0.65) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( 1.4) | 17.3% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( 2.41) | 47.66% ( -2.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.39)1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.89% Total : 49.84% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.16)0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.14)3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.81% Total : 30.11% |
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