Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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