Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
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