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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Viking FK |
26.7% ( 0.08) | 21.98% ( 0) | 51.32% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 63.8% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( 0.06) | 35.67% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.26% ( 0.07) | 57.73% ( -0.07) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.09) | 25.66% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.12) | 60.56% ( -0.12) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -0) | 14.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.12% ( -0.01) | 41.88% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Viking FK |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.7% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.32% |
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