SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
30.45% ( -0.22) | 23.51% ( -0.06) | 46.04% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( 0.18) | 40.44% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0.18) | 62.81% ( -0.19) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.05) | 25.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( -0.07) | 60.49% ( 0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( 0.18) | 17.85% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% ( 0.31) | 48.61% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.79% Total : 46.04% |
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