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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Aalesund |
76.44% ( 0.13) | 14.65% ( -0.08) | 8.92% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.28) | 33.97% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.16% ( 0.32) | 55.83% ( -0.32) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.67% ( 0.09) | 7.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.51% ( 0.23) | 26.49% ( -0.23) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.11) | 45.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( 0.09) | 81.34% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 76.43% | 1-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.65% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 8.92% |
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