SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.53%) and 3-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Viking FK in this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
54.01% ( -0.01) | 19.2% ( 0.01) | 26.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 74.68% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.09) | 21.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.12) | 40.63% ( 0.11) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( -0.03) | 8.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.92% ( -0.07) | 30.08% ( 0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.06) | 18.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( -0.09) | 49.13% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 54.01% | 2-2 @ 6.86% 1-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.2% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.78% |
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