SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Bodo/Glimt | 9 | 4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
61.88% ( 0.09) | 21% ( -0.03) | 17.12% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.02) | 43.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.02) | 65.85% ( -0.02) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0.04) | 13.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( 0.07) | 40.54% ( -0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.06) | 38.78% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.06) | 75.51% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 61.87% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.12% |
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