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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 20
Aug 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
1 - 1
Kristiansund

Fridjonsson (23')
Ranger (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williamsen (54')
Williamsen (17')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Kristiansund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lillestrom 3-0 Sandefjord
Sunday, August 21 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 Kristiansund
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawKristiansund
66.21% (0.295 0.3) 19.42% (-0.142 -0.14) 14.37% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.26% (0.317 0.32)41.73% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86% (0.318 0.32)64.14% (-0.315 -0.31)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (0.175 0.17)11.74% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.1% (0.367 0.37)36.9% (-0.365 -0.37)
Kristiansund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.82% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 66.2%
    Kristiansund 14.37%
    Draw 19.42%
LillestromDrawKristiansund
2-0 @ 11.12%
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.42%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-0 Sandefjord
Sunday, August 21 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Jerv 1-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Antwerp 2-0 Lillestrom
Thursday, August 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-1 Tromso
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-3 Antwerp
Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarpsborg 0-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 Kristiansund
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 2-3 Molde
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 1-1 Tromso
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 0-1 Kristiansund
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-0 Kristiansund
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 2-2 Odd
Sunday, July 24 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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