Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aalesund would win this match.