SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Molde |
28.12% ( -0.08) | 23.18% ( -0.01) | 48.7% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.67% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0.03) | 40.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( -0.03) | 62.69% ( 0.03) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0.07) | 27.08% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( -0.09) | 62.46% ( 0.09) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.02) | 16.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.04) | 46.75% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 28.12% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.21% Total : 48.7% |
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