SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Gent had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.8%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Molde |
32.46% ( -0.15) | 20.57% ( 0.01) | 46.98% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 73.51% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.09) | 24.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.12) | 44.61% ( 0.12) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.11) | 16.86% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( -0.2) | 46.87% ( 0.2) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.41% ( 0.01) | 11.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.44% ( 0.02) | 36.55% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 5.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.78% 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.98% |
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