Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Aalesund win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
