SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Aalesund |
51.46% ( -0.09) | 23.05% ( 0.04) | 25.49% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.12) | 41.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( -0.12) | 64.24% ( 0.12) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.07) | 16.35% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( -0.14) | 45.95% ( 0.14) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.03) | 29.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.03) | 65.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.46% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.49% |
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