Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
