SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Aalesund |
43.3% ( -0.17) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 31.53% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.21) | 47.55% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( 0.19) | 69.76% ( -0.19) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.01) | 21.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( 0.02) | 55.22% ( -0.01) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( 0.24) | 28.43% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( 0.29) | 64.19% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Aalesund |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.53% |
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