Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.