Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Molde had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Molde win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
