Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.