Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 22.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.