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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 25, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
AA

Ajax
2 - 0
AZ

Klaassen (66', 90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Karlsson (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
54.21%21.4%24.39%
Both teams to score 63.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.89%35.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.89%57.12%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91%13.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3%39.7%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97%27.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61%62.39%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54.21%
    AZ Alkmaar 24.39%
    Draw 21.4%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 7.32%
1-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 6.49%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 4.24%
4-1 @ 3.3%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.03%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.4%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-1 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 24.39%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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