SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
12.1% ( 0.02) | 17.51% ( 0.04) | 70.39% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.14) | 38.25% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( -0.15) | 60.53% ( 0.15) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( -0.06) | 42.5% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.13% ( -0.05) | 78.87% ( 0.05) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( -0.05) | 9.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.64% ( -0.12) | 32.36% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.1% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.51% | 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 70.39% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
