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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Almere City |
44.93% ( 0.17) | 24.29% ( -0.04) | 30.78% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 0.09) | 43.92% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.09) | 66.3% ( -0.08) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.11) | 19.7% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( 0.17) | 51.71% ( -0.17) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.05) | 27.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0.06) | 62.5% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.78% |
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