SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 58.9%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
20.78% ( -0.18) | 20.33% ( 0.01) | 58.9% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.58% ( -0.32) | 34.43% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.36) | 56.35% ( 0.36) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.34) | 29.63% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.42) | 65.67% ( 0.42) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( -0.05) | 11.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.56% ( -0.12) | 36.44% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 20.78% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.9% |
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