Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.