As well as enjoying a 17-game unbeaten run in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have lost just once on home turf in the league this term, but they will be fully aware of the threat that Feyenoord pose.
Meanwhile, the visitors are looking for a fifth consecutive victory, but we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face an in-form AZ Alkmaar side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
