AZ
2 - 1
Heracles

Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laursen (42')
Kiomourtzoglou (67')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Heracles

Judging by recent results, AZ are nailed on favourites to come out on top this weekend, and we expect them to live up to expectations in what should be a routine victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 84.71%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 4.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.55%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
84.71%	10.99%	4.29%

Both teams to score 36.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.79%

36.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.66%

58.34%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87%

6.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.75%

23.25%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.07%

60.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.88%

91.12%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 84.7%

Heracles 4.29%

Draw 10.99%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 14.56% 3-0 @ 13.55% 1-0 @ 10.43% 4-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.72% 5-0 @ 5.29% 4-1 @ 4.69% 5-1 @ 2.62% 6-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.66% 6-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% 7-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 84.7%	1-1 @ 5.17% 0-0 @ 3.74% 2-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.99%	0-1 @ 1.85% 1-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.16% Total : 4.29%