SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 36.71% | 23.89% | 39.39% |
| Both teams to score 61.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.62% | 40.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% | 62.75% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% | 22.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.65% | 55.35% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% | 20.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.69% | 53.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.39% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
