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Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
P

AZ
2 - 0
PSV

Karlsson (4'), Koopmeiners (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sangare (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
36.71%23.89%39.39%
Both teams to score 61.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62%40.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24%62.75%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97%22.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65%55.35%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 36.71%
    PSV Eindhoven 39.39%
    Draw 23.89%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.39%

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