SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
50.62% ( 0.07) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 25.18% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0) | 47.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -0) | 69.48% ( 0.01) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( 0.03) | 18.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% ( 0.04) | 50.04% ( -0.04) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -0.05) | 32.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( -0.05) | 69.54% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.18% |
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