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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
74.05% ( 0.22) | 15.41% ( -0.1) | 10.53% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.64% ( 0.15) | 32.36% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.02% ( 0.17) | 53.98% ( -0.17) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.55% ( 0.08) | 7.44% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.22% ( 0.2) | 26.78% ( -0.2) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.1) | 41.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( -0.09) | 77.7% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.41% | 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.53% |
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