The sides are averaging nearly two goals per game this term, and we expect both to get on the scoresheet. That said, Twente have been significantly superior at the other end, and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
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