SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.49%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Cambuur |
75.49% ( 1.7) | 15.06% ( -0.76) | 9.45% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.73) | 34.18% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( 0.82) | 56.07% ( -0.82) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.42% ( 0.53) | 7.57% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.88% ( 1.35) | 27.11% ( -1.35) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% ( -1.33) | 44.55% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.42% ( -1.09) | 80.57% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.16)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 75.49% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.06% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.45% |
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