Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
59.89% (![]() | 21.95% (![]() | 18.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.07% (![]() | 45.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.76% (![]() | 68.24% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.07% (![]() | 14.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.68% (![]() | 43.31% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.96% (![]() | 39.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.24% (![]() | 75.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 11.08% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.54% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 10.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.15% |
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