Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
